Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.968342e-05 0.000024 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000053
2025-08-31 1.504660e-05 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000051 0.000063
2025-09-07 1.179778e-05 0.000017 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000055 0.000071
2025-09-14 9.212307e-06 0.000015 0.000022 0.000031 0.000043 0.000058 0.000076
2025-09-21 7.248678e-06 0.000013 0.000020 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000081
2025-09-28 5.592902e-06 0.000011 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000061 0.000085
2025-10-05 4.623610e-06 0.000009 0.000017 0.000028 0.000043 0.000064 0.000091
2025-10-12 3.905144e-06 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000045 0.000067 0.000098
2025-10-19 3.200234e-06 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000045 0.000069 0.000103
2025-10-26 3.065343e-06 0.000008 0.000016 0.000029 0.000049 0.000076 0.000114
2025-11-02 2.561423e-06 0.000007 0.000015 0.000029 0.000050 0.000078 0.000119
2025-11-09 1.969795e-06 0.000006 0.000014 0.000028 0.000049 0.000079 0.000122
2025-11-16 1.427711e-06 0.000005 0.000013 0.000026 0.000048 0.000080 0.000127
2025-11-23 1.095436e-06 0.000005 0.000012 0.000026 0.000049 0.000083 0.000134
2025-11-30 8.017410e-07 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000086 0.000140
2025-12-07 5.471310e-07 0.000003 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000087 0.000144
2025-12-14 3.612410e-07 0.000003 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000088 0.000148
2025-12-21 2.162381e-07 0.000002 0.000008 0.000022 0.000047 0.000087 0.000150
2025-12-28 1.468353e-07 0.000002 0.000008 0.000022 0.000048 0.000090 0.000157
2026-01-04 1.016798e-07 0.000002 0.000007 0.000022 0.000049 0.000093 0.000164
2026-01-11 6.178471e-08 0.000001 0.000007 0.000021 0.000049 0.000096 0.000170
2026-01-18 5.867171e-08 0.000002 0.000007 0.000023 0.000053 0.000103 0.000185
2026-01-25 3.524608e-08 0.000001 0.000007 0.000023 0.000054 0.000106 0.000191